Forex Analysis & Reviews: 22.10.2021 - Gold keeps trading in...

22.10.2021 11:43 AM

Gold keeps trading in narrow range

Gold is trading in a narrow range. Its move is limited by expectations of a tougher monetary policy stance by the Federal Reserve.

On Tuesday and Wednesday, the asset was bullish amid fears of rising inflation in the US. As a result, it grew by more than 1%. However, gold's rally stopped yesterday.

Gold reversed and went down as investors were digesting optimistic data on the US labor market. In the previous week, the number of initial jobless claims decreased by 6K and amounted to 290K.

A decrease in the reading indicates a strong recovery of the US economy after the COVID-19 pandemic. In this light, the Federal Reserve may well start tightening monetary policy earlier.

At the same time, this move of the American regulator is likely to boost yields on US Treasuries. Yesterday, the reading increased to its 5-month high.

Against this backdrop, demand for gold decreased even despite a weaker US dollar rate this week. On Thursday, the asset fell by 0.2%, or $3, to $1,781.90.

Silver also dropped in price. The quote was down by 1.1%, or $0.27. The asset was trading at $24.17 at the close of the COMEX exchange.

"Gold appears stuck in no man's land, battling rising yield. Gold should see some safe-haven flows as the short-term risks to the global economic recovery are growing," Ed Moya, Senior Market Analyst at OANDA, said.

A slowdown in economic growth is likely to urge the Fed to once again delay monetary policy tightening, while a strong economic recovery, on the contrary, will accelerate this process.

Many experts believe that a strong economic recovery will exert pressure on gold. However, there is another point of view.

Investor Peter Bukvar suggests that the price of precious metals could double as soon as the Federal Reserve starts cutting stimulus and raising rates to combat high inflation.

According to Bukvar, inflation is forcing central banks around the world to start cutting stimulus programs. He believes that this process will have serious consequences. Since 2010, every notable market correction has coincided with the end of QE policy. Therefore, it is impossible that the Fed and other central banks could tighten policy without any consequences.

The Federal Reserve hinted at the possibility of tapering in November. Meanwhile, CME FedWatch Tool says there is a 43% chance of a rate hike in June next year.

The Fed's problem is how far behind schedule it is. Amid the strongest inflationary pressure since the 1970s, the regulator is going to make tapering last for 7 months, while rates will remain at around zero.

That is why, at this stage, the investor sees nothing more attractive than investing in gold and silver. Both metals have bottomed and are ready to resume the rally. According to his forecast, gold has a chance to soar above $3K and silver may return to its high of over $50 per ounce.

你今天已经点赞上这篇文章了

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。

If you have any content questions, please contact editorial-board@instaforex.com

News

该作者的更多文章

EURUSD

Euro vs US Dollar

选择时间框架

分钟

小时

天

周

开始交易

通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。

下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。

推荐文章

在擔憂中成長：市場上漲，但製造業和Tesla停滯

6月3日美國市場新聞摘要

特朗普再次震撼華爾街：市場指數瞬間反應

6月2日美國市場新聞摘要

特朗普再度影響華爾街，指數迅速反應

當投資者在各行業間重新平衡時，波音上升，Best Buy下跌

5月30日美國市場新聞摘要

波音上漲，Best Buy下跌：為什麼投資者選擇不同資產下注

5月29日美國市場新聞摘要

股市風暴：Nvidia 股價飆升，道瓊指數下跌，法院推翻特朗普關稅

Top analytics