empty
25.11.2021 07:16 AM
Fed may raise interest rates and wind down QE program sooner than planned

This image is no longer relevant

Yesterday's macroeconomic calendar was full of important releases from the United States, including the second estimate for third-quarter annualized GDP growth. Although economic growth accelerated to 2.1% on a quarterly basis, the markets expected the indicator to increase by 2.2%. The report on durable goods orders, which was once very important and regularly provoked strong movements, turned out to be weaker than forecasts and did not cause any reaction. Thus, the entire package of US statistics did not exert pressure either on the greenback or the US stock market. Yesterday, the US dollar remained near its annual highs against the euro and the pound sterling, while US stock indices continued trading near their historic highs. In the late trade, the minutes from the Fed meeting held on November 3 were also published. As we noted yesterday, that report might be interesting in terms of the number of Fed members supporting a faster pace of the QE program tapering or earlier interest rate hikes. Considering the way the US dollar has been gaining in value in recent weeks, it could be assumed that the markets are waiting for both steps.

However, in reality, the minutes did not have a severe impact on the dynamics of the markets. The Monetary Committee announced that it was planning to maintain a flexible approach to changes in its monetary policy strategy and would not hesitate if necessary to combat high inflation. Several FOMC members spoke in favor of an earlier-than-planned interest rate hike (the second half of 2022), while some believe that it would be a wise decision to taper the stimulus program at a faster pace. However, the second point came as no surprise to investors, since a week earlier the majority of FOMC members delivered speeches. For instance, St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard advocated for the central bank to take a more aggressive approach to the stimulus wind-down. As for the first point, market participants might have guessed it, given high inflation. What matters now is how the market responds to this information. We still believe that the US dollar's recent rally was mainly triggered by market expectations of the Fed's monetary policy tightening. Therefore, if most market participants see yesterday's report as a hint of a new monetary tightening cycle as early as December, the greenback will most likely continue gaining in value. Speaking of US indices, the stock market is not being weighed down by the decisions made by the FOMC and the rhetoric of some members and Jerome Powell who is likely to remain the head of the US Federal Reserve for a second term. This compels us to reflect on the bubble and worry about its possible bursting. Now it turns out that stock indices are edging higher despite negative factors. However, the reverse should be the case. As the regulator tightens monetary policy, the stock market is supposed to at least correct.

Pilih timeframe
5
mnt
15
mnt
30
mnt
1
jam
4
jam
1
hari
1
minggu
Dapatkan keuntungan dari perubahan nilai mata uang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Unduh MetaTrader 4 dan buka perdagangan pertama Anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    GABUNG KONTES

Artikel yang direkomendasikan

Rekomendasi Beli dan Jual Saham – 22 Mei 2025

Beli Saham Google (#GOOG) Google, sebuah perusahaan multinasional di bawah Alphabet Holdings, mengkhususkan diri dalam pencarian internet, komputasi awan, dan teknologi periklanan. Setelah harga terkonsolidasi di atas level 165,21 (kerendahan

Laurie Bailey 05:06 2025-05-22 UTC+2

Pasar AS mengalami penurunan. Koreksi di depan mata?

S&P 500 Ikhtisar untuk 21 Mei: Pasar AS mundur. Koreksi di depan mata? Indeks utama AS pada hari Selasa: Dow -0,3%, NASDAQ -0,4%, S&P 500 -0,4%. S&P 500: 5.940, rentang

Jozef Kovach 12:41 2025-05-21 UTC+2

Pembaruan pasar saham AS pada 20 Mei. Pasar mempertahankan keuntungan tanpa koreksi

S&P500 Pembaruan pasar saham AS pada 20 Mei. Pasar mempertahankan keuntungan tanpa koreksi Gambaran singkat indeks saham acuan AS pada hari Senin: Dow +0,3%, NASDAQ +0,0%, S&P 500 +0,1%, S&P

Jozef Kovach 11:00 2025-05-20 UTC+2

Penurunan peringkat kredit AS meningkatkan kemungkinan koreksi pasar

S&P 500 Rangkuman untuk 19 Mei Penurunan peringkat kredit AS meningkatkan kemungkinan koreksi pasar Indeks utama AS pada hari Jumat: Dow +0,8%, NASDAQ +0,5%, S&P 500 +0,7% S&P 500: 5.958

Jozef Kovach 12:32 2025-05-19 UTC+2

Pasar AS: tertahan di bawah level tertinggi tahunan

S&P 500 Rangkuman untuk 15 Mei Pasar AS: tertahan di bawah level tertinggi tahunan Kinerja indeks utama AS pada hari Rabu: Dow -0,2% | NASDAQ +0,7% | S&P 500 +0,1%

Jozef Kovach 12:59 2025-05-15 UTC+2

Rekomendasi beli dan jual saham untuk 15 Mei 2025

Membeli saham JP Morgan Chase (#JPM) JP Morgan Chase adalah konglomerat keuangan multinasional asal Amerika. Pada grafik mingguan, saham telah mengalami percepatan ke arah atas, kemungkinan bertujuan untuk mencapai batas

Laurie Bailey 12:56 2025-05-15 UTC+2

Berita terbaru pasar saham AS pada 14 Mei

S&P500 Gambaran indeks saham acuan AS pada hari Selasa: Dow -0,6%, NASDAQ +1,6%, S&P 500 +0,7%. S&P 500: 5.886, rentang 5.400–6.200. Sesi kenaikan selanjutnya untuk saham berlangsung kemarin. S&P

Jozef Kovach 13:05 2025-05-14 UTC+2

Rekomendasi beli dan jual saham untuk 14 Mei 2025

Pembelian saham perusahaan (#IBM) International Business Machines (IBM) adalah salah satu perusahaan TI terbesar yang berbasis di AS, terlibat dalam pembuatan perangkat keras, pengembangan perangkat lunak, dan lainnya. Pada grafik

Laurie Bailey 13:03 2025-05-14 UTC+2

Prediksi S&P 500 untuk 14 Mei 2025

Pada grafik mingguan, harga telah menembus resistensi garis tertanam dari saluran harga hijau dan mencapai level target 5.908, yang merupakan titik terendah dari 3 Februari. Melewati level ini membuka jalan

Laurie Bailey 12:53 2025-05-14 UTC+2

Prediksi S&P 500 untuk 9 Mei 2025

Pasar saham AS telah mengatasi ketidakpastian dan siap untuk tumbuh menuju rekor tertinggi baru. Harga telah menetap di atas garis indikator Balance Line dan MACD Line serta telah menyelesaikan fase

Laurie Bailey 05:15 2025-05-09 UTC+2
Tidak bisa bicara sekarang?
Tanyakan pertanyaan anda lewat chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.