Analisis Forex & Kajian: 23.04.2019 - Selling of EUR/USD and...

23.04.2019 12:26 PM

Selling of EUR/USD and AUD/USD pairs as the foreign exchange market continues to swing from side to side

The foreign exchange market continues to be characterized by an unconventional extremely low activity and accompanied by the same low volatility.

We have repeatedly pointed out earlier that the uncertainty caused by the actions of the world's largest central banks led by the Fed, regarding the prospects for monetary policy which resulted to a significant decrease in investor activity on the Forex market. But in the past few months, the US stock market has been growing uncontrollably in the wake of the "buybacks" of the largest industry giants and the unstoppable growth of stock indices. All of these also happen against the background of a directly proportional fall in market volumes. It seems that the owners of these companies are still using the possibilities of high and sufficiently cheap liquidity to repurchase shares of their companies under conditions of uncertainty and low market volumes. It seems that the owners of these companies are still using the possibilities of high and sufficiently cheap liquidity to repurchase shares of their companies under conditions of uncertainty and low market volumes.

Looking back to the likely actions of the Fed, its May meeting will be important for understanding possible further actions by the American regulator as we see it. After the collapse of the local stock market at the end of last year, the Central Bank abruptly changed its view of the course of monetary policy and made it clear that it was a wait-and-see attitude earlier this year. At the March meeting, he confirmed his tactical plans and now, from its May meeting, investors are already waiting for some real action while hoping that the regulator will nevertheless take a final decision on the prospective reduction of interest rates in order to maintain the demand for US assets. Yet, so far, the market has no firm conviction that this is exactly what the bank will do, which is why there is a drop in market volumes with a simultaneous strong decrease in volatility.

Given this state of affairs, we believe that the overall lateral dynamics in the main currency pairs will continue at least until the Fed's monetary policy meeting.

Forecast of the day:

The EUR/USD pair continues to drift down, remaining in the lateral range generally. If the price holds below the level of 1.1245, it can continue falling to 1.1225 and then to 1.1210.

The AUD/USD pair is likely to continue its local decline in the prospects for an increase in RBA interest rates. We consider it possible to sell the pair with promising targets of 0.7090 and 0.7070.

Anda telah pun menyukai siaran hari ini

* Analisis pasaran yang disiarkan di sini adalah bertujuan untuk meningkatkan kesedaran anda, tetapi tidak untuk memberi arahan untuk membuat perdagangan.

Jika anda mempunyai sebarang soalan berkaitan kandungan, sila hubungi editorial-board@instaforex.com

Fundamental analysis

Pati Gani,
Pakar analisis InstaForex
© 2007-2025

Lebih banyak artikel daripada pengarang ini

Langganan E-mel

EURUSD

Euro vs US Dollar

Pilih carta masa

min

jam

hari

minggu

Mulakan dagangan

Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.

Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Serangan Peluru Berpandu Israel ke Atas Iran Akan Menjatuhkan Pasaran Global (Saya Menjangkakan Bitcoin dan #NDX Akan Meneruskan Penurunan Selepas Pembetulan Kenaikan Sementara)

Apa yang Perlu Diperhatikan pada 13 Jun? Ulasan Peristiwa Fundamental untuk Pedagang Baharu

Tinjauan GBP/USD – 13 Jun: Mahkamah Gagal Menghalang Donald Trump!

Gambaran Keseluruhan EUR/USD – 13 Jun: Ekonomi Amerika Bertuah

Trump Mengirim 'Surat Kegembiraan'

GBP/USD. Pound Lemah Lebih Kukuh berbanding Dolar Lemah

Dolar Berundur dari Medan Pertempuran

Pasaran Menjual Fakta

The Fed Adalah Betul—Masih Terlalu Awal untuk Memotong Kadar Faedah (Saya Menjangkakan Penurunan dalam #SPX dan Kenaikan Harga Emas)

Ancaman Tarif Baharu oleh Trump – Pasaran Bertindak Balas

Analisis terbaik