empty
03.04.2019 12:48 AM
EUR/USD: will the euro cross the Rubicon?

This image is no longer relevant

Today, the EUR/USD pair is trading near annual lows marked in early March. Pressure on the single European currency was exerted by weak statistics on the eurozone and the increasing uncertainty on Brexit.

This image is no longer relevant

Given the fact that the core inflation index in the eurozone remains well below the benchmark set by the ECB, and the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector in Germany is at a low level since the European debt crisis, it seems premature to talk about the speedy recovery of the bloc economy.

In addition, according to Luis De Guindos, vice president of the ECB, markets are now underestimating the consequences of Britain's unorganized withdrawal from the EU, which could lead to a further slowdown in European GDP. This will be bad news for the euro.

However, it is possible that the crisis of the British government's legislative and executive branches paralyzes London's political will so much that Great Britain will not exit the EU with or without an agreement.

In addition, hopes of the European economy's gradual recovery still remains in connection with the willingness of Washington and Beijing to end the trade war.

If the parties eventually make a deal, it will support the demand for risky assets and will be positive for the euro. In this case, the US currency risks falling.

In the meantime, the dollar is in high demand due to the weakening of other major world currencies.

According to experts, the final straw in the balance, which will provide a breakdown of the EUR/USD to a level of 1.118, below which the pair has not fallen since 2017, could be a report on the state of the US labor market in March, which will be released on Friday.

Viktor Isakov,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Clash of the Titans: Musk vs. Trump as Investors Count Losses

Dow -0.25%, S&P 500 -0.53%, Nasdaq -0.83% Tesla Falls as Trump-Musk Public Feud Grows Initial Jobless Claims Rise for Second Week in a Row Adidas, Puma Shares Fall After Lululemon

Thomas Frank 11:45 2025-06-06 UTC+2

Diverging markets: US stocks stall, Asia accelerates

Dow: -0.22%; S&P 500: flat; Nasdaq: +0.32%. The US services sector contracted in May for the first time in nearly a year. CrowdStrike slumped on a downbeat revenue forecast

12:40 2025-06-05 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for June 5

Major US stock indices ended the trading session with minimal changes: the S&P 500 edged up 0.01%, the Nasdaq gained 0.32%, while the Dow Jones slipped 0.22%. Market participants adopted

Ekaterina Kiseleva 11:59 2025-06-05 UTC+2

US indices stall, Asia accelerates: what's happening in global markets

Dow -0.22%, S&P 500 flat, Nasdaq +0.32% Services sector shrinks in May for first time in almost a year CrowdStrike falls on pessimistic quarterly earnings forecast Fed lifts Wells Fargo

Thomas Frank 10:19 2025-06-05 UTC+2

Bitcoin's seesaw: to go on with uptrend or enter consolidation?

The first cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, is facing significant pressure, swinging between pullbacks from previous peaks and rallies toward new ones. Nevertheless, the flagship asset refuses to give in and continues

Larisa Kolesnikova 14:51 2025-06-04 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for June 4

Amid ongoing trade disputes and mounting fiscal concerns, US investors continue to adhere to a "buy-the-dip" strategy. Having reached new highs, the S&P 500 remains in the spotlight as market

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:42 2025-06-04 UTC+2

Optimism in Markets: Dollar General, Pinterest, Wells Fargo Stocks Rise to Lift Indexes

Dow Up 0.51%, S&P 500 Up 0.54%, Nasdaq Up 0.81% Dollar General Advances on Year-Over Sales Target Pinterest Advances After JPMorgan Stocks Rise Wells Fargo Stocks Trade Higher After Asset

Thomas Frank 10:34 2025-06-04 UTC+2

Growth through worries: Markets rally, but manufacturing and Tesla stall

Indices: Dow flat, S&P 500 up 0.4%, Nasdaq up 0.7% Investors hope for trade talks despite Trump steel threat Tesla falls after reporting weaker May sales in some EU countries

Thomas Frank 11:41 2025-06-03 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for June 3

After gains in the previous session, US equity benchmarks, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, came under pressure as futures slipped amid lingering uncertainty over trade negotiations between Washington

Ekaterina Kiseleva 11:27 2025-06-03 UTC+2

Trump shakes Wall Street Again: market indices respond instantly

Trump's remarks on China stir volatile market moves. Ulta Beauty gains after raising its full-year profit forecast. The Dow edged up by 0.1%, the S&P 500 dipped 0.01%

12:44 2025-06-02 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.